Dangerous Topics: week 2
Friday, September 21st, 2007We finished our discussions of State of Fear this week, using articles to basically demonstrate that Crichton’s “facts,” while technically mostly true, generally misrepresent the overall point of the scientists he quotes; this let us to a discussion of how scientific results are generally so complex that someone with an agenda can easily misrepresent them. We discussed how even without a specific political agenda, scientific facts are often oversimplified by the media for popular consumption, which leads to a misunderstanding of how science is done and how precise science generally is.
Chrichton’s book argues that since there is conflicting evidence and we don’t have all the data and our models aren’t perfectly predictive yet, then it’s irresponsible to act because we don’t know enough. We discussed the danger in mistaking a lack of precision (regarding complex phenomena such as climate change) doesn’t mean we don’t know anything, and we discussed the dilemma of having to make policy decisions with an incomplete data set.
We discussed the incongruity between a legalistic or popular interpretation of the word “theory” with the scientific meaning of the word, which leads to a poplular misunderstanding of the amount of “doubt” there is in the scientific community about global warming.
We also discussed one particular example of “bad facts” in State of Fear in which Crichton misrepresented (flat out got wrong) the testimony of Robert Hansen about the likelihood of climate change; while Crichton cited the original testimony in his footnote, his book presented as fact a skewed misinterpretation of the proceedings that had been previously promoted by a well-known climate change skeptic. This was an important example because it “revealed” Crichton to have relied on climate change skeptics for his data, rather than doing his own independent research, as he leads the reader to believe.
Finally, we spent some time talking about the basic science behind global warming and the greenhouse effect.
Next week: Their State of Fear papers are due, and I’ll be handing out An Inconvenient Truth on Monday. I’ll use our double period on Monday to show the film, and then we’ll begin our close reading and discussion of the book.